| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Arkansas (7-6, 3-5) | L 20-21 | 5.39 | 4.30 | +1.08 | 75.81%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs South Carolina State (5-6, 5-3) | W 53-24 | 8.08 | 4.19 | +3.89 | 97.72%
| -4 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Texas Tech (5-7, 3-6) | L 45-59 | 8.41 | 8.43 | -0.02 | 49.51%
| 0 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | L 34-38 | 6.48 | 7.00 | -0.52 | 36.94%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs UTEP (4-8, 2-6) | W 28-7 | 7.74 | 6.01 | +1.73 | 87.17%
| +2 |
| Oct 6October 6 (Thu) | vs Western Kentucky (11-3, 8-1) | W 55-52 | 7.79 | 5.85 | +1.94 | 90.04%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at UMass (2-10) | W 56-28 | 10.00 | 5.47 | +4.53 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Florida International (4-8, 4-4) | W 44-24 | 7.21 | 5.10 | +2.11 | 91.88%
| +1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Rice (3-9, 2-6) | W 61-16 | 10.50 | 4.36 | +6.14 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at North Texas (5-8, 3-5) | W 45-24 | 6.84 | 4.52 | +2.33 | 93.85%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs UT San Antonio (6-7, 5-3) | W 63-35 | 8.30 | 3.69 | +4.61 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 (Fri) | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | L 24-39 | 4.62 | 5.53 | -0.91 | 27.79%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Western Kentucky (11-3, 8-1) | L 44-58 | 6.42 | 9.11 | -2.69 | 3.99%
| +2 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Fri) | at Navy (9-5, 7-2) * | W 48-45 | 6.81 | 7.53 | -0.72 | 32.28%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 6-3 | 7.51 | 5.79 | +1.717 | 9.87-4.13 (-0.87) | +1 |