| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs New Mexico State (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-22 | 6.73 | 4.86 | +1.87 | 89.12%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #11 Texas (5-7, 3-6) | L 7-41 | 3.41 | 5.55 | -2.14 | 7.82%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Army (8-5) | L 14-66 | 6.05 | 7.41 | -1.36 | 18.79%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | L 7-34 | 4.78 | 5.73 | -0.95 | 27.02%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 6-3) | L 7-28 | 6.01 | 7.74 | -1.73 | 12.81%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Florida International (4-8, 4-4) | L 21-35 | 5.31 | 6.65 | -1.34 | 19.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at UT San Antonio (6-7, 5-3) | W 52-49 | 7.16 | 5.90 | +1.26 | 79.36%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 7-1) | L 21-31 | 4.68 | 7.56 | -2.88 | 3.37%
| -1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Houston Baptist (-) | W 42-10 | 7.79 | 3.85 | +3.94 | 97.84%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | L 31-35 | 6.02 | 7.56 | -1.54 | 15.70%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Rice (3-9, 2-6) | L 24-44 | 4.46 | 6.69 | -2.23 | 6.93%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs North Texas (5-8, 3-5) | W 52-24 | 9.57 | 4.41 | +5.16 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 6.02 | 6.12 | -0.103 | 4.78-7.22 (-0.78) | -5 |