| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Alabama State (4-7, 3-6) | W 26-13 | 6.70 | 4.78 | +1.92 | 89.75%
| -3 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Colorado State (7-6, 5-3) | L 14-23 | 3.67 | 4.69 | -1.01 | 25.64%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 (Fri) | vs Arizona State (5-7, 2-7) | L 28-32 | 4.81 | 5.94 | -1.13 | 23.21%
| +3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Old Dominion (10-3, 7-1) | L 19-33 | 4.96 | 5.56 | -0.61 | 34.89%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | W 55-32 | 11.32 | 6.26 | +5.06 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Rice (3-9, 2-6) | W 14-13 | 5.30 | 5.09 | +0.21 | 55.42%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs UTEP (4-8, 2-6) | L 49-52 | 5.90 | 7.16 | -1.26 | 20.61%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs North Texas (5-8, 3-5) | W 31-17 | 5.30 | 5.68 | -0.38 | 40.38%
| +4 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Middle Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | W 45-25 | 4.73 | 5.59 | -0.87 | 28.87%
| +2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 6-3) | L 35-63 | 3.69 | 8.30 | -4.61 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at #25 Texas A&M (8-5, 4-4) | L 10-23 | 3.71 | 6.16 | -2.45 | 5.26%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Charlotte (4-8, 3-5) | W 33-14 | 6.12 | 3.76 | +2.36 | 94.07%
| -1 |
| Dec 17December 17 | vs New Mexico (9-4, 6-2) * | L 20-23 | 5.69 | 5.10 | +0.58 | 64.55%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 5.38 | 5.69 | -0.313 | 5.83-7.17 (+0.17) | +3 |