| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | vs #20 Mississippi State (7-6, 2-6) | L 14-59 | 3.99 | 9.35 | -5.36 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 3-47 | 2.91 | 7.85 | -4.94 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Austin Peay (3-8, 2-6) | W 27-6 | 7.06 | 5.21 | +1.86 | 88.95%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs SMU (8-5, 5-3) | L 0-42 | 3.04 | 7.12 | -4.09 | 1.65%
| +3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | L 31-38 | 5.27 | 6.48 | -1.21 | 21.56%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Rice (4-8, 3-5) | L 6-28 | 4.58 | 5.34 | -0.76 | 31.27%
| 0 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs East Carolina (5-7, 4-4) | L 17-35 | 4.36 | 6.99 | -2.63 | 4.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Tulane (2-11, 1-7) | W 33-17 | 5.10 | 5.67 | -0.56 | 35.87%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at UCF (5-7, 3-5) | L 0-41 | 3.13 | 6.79 | -3.66 | 2.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs UAB (3-9, 3-5) | L 35-41 | 6.19 | 7.57 | -1.37 | 18.53%
| +2 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Thu) | vs Marshall (7-6, 5-3) | L 22-23 | 3.99 | 4.95 | -0.97 | 26.68%
| +6 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Southern Mississippi (12-2, 7-2) | L 7-44 | 2.78 | 7.52 | -4.74 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 2-10, 1-7 | 4.38 | 6.77 | -2.382 | 2.31-9.69 (-0.31) | +11 |