| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #7 Michigan (9-4, 6-3) | L 21-40 | 4.36 | 5.81 | -1.45 | 17.27%
| 0 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Tennessee State (3-9, 2-6) | W 45-26 | 10.41 | 6.21 | +4.20 | 98.95%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Duke (5-7, 3-5) | L 18-41 | 5.75 | 6.43 | -0.68 | 33.02%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at #14 Iowa (10-3, 6-3) | L 3-48 | 4.24 | 8.05 | -3.81 | 2.43%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Marshall (8-5, 6-2) | W 24-13 | 6.03 | 7.05 | -1.02 | 25.53%
| +4 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | L 13-28 | 6.47 | 5.18 | +1.28 | 79.73%
| -3 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | L 30-33 | 5.55 | 6.50 | -0.95 | 27.04%
| +2 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Florida International (6-7, 3-5) | W 50-17 | 7.40 | 4.76 | +2.64 | 95.79%
| +4 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Charlotte (7-6, 5-3) | L 20-34 | 7.09 | 5.79 | +1.30 | 79.99%
| -2 |
| Nov 16November 16 | vs Rice (3-9, 3-5) | L 28-31 | 7.51 | 5.80 | +1.71 | 86.92%
| -2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Old Dominion (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-17 | 6.31 | 4.86 | +1.44 | 82.69%
| +1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 26-31 | 5.75 | 8.32 | -2.56 | 4.61%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 6.36 | 6.21 | +0.148 | 6.34-5.66 (-2.34) | +3 |