| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at #5 Ohio State (13-1, 10-0) | L 21-45 | 3.12 | 6.34 | -3.21 | 2.83%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs #18 UCF (10-3, 6-2) | L 14-48 | 3.61 | 8.57 | -4.96 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at Ball State (5-7, 4-4) | W 41-31 | 5.72 | 6.35 | -0.63 | 34.38%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | vs Wagner (1-11, 1-6) | W 42-7 | 7.35 | 3.31 | +4.04 | 98.14%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Charlotte (7-6, 5-3) | W 45-27 | 7.05 | 5.17 | +1.88 | 89.29%
| +2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-13 | 5.18 | 6.47 | -1.28 | 20.24%
| +3 |
| Oct 18October 18 (Fri) | vs Marshall (8-5, 6-2) | L 31-36 | 5.59 | 6.77 | -1.18 | 22.26%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at Old Dominion (1-11, 0-8) | W 41-3 | 6.52 | 2.96 | +3.56 | 97.34%
| -1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | W 35-24 | 6.59 | 6.08 | +0.51 | 62.66%
| +4 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs Florida International (6-7, 3-5) | W 37-7 | 6.98 | 4.54 | +2.44 | 94.65%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 40-26 | 6.58 | 5.90 | +0.68 | 66.78%
| +2 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 5-3) | W 34-17 | 5.90 | 3.40 | +2.51 | 95.08%
| +4 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs UAB (9-5, 6-3) | W 49-6 | 7.22 | 3.78 | +3.44 | 97.30%
| +1 |
| Dec 21December 21 | vs SMU (10-3, 6-2) | W 52-28 | 5.87 | 4.67 | +1.20 | 78.16%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 8-1 | 5.93 | 5.32 | +0.615 | 8.59-5.41 (+2.41) | +21 |