| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Gardner-Webb (3-9, 1-6) | W 49-28 | 6.87 | 4.21 | +2.65 | 95.84%
| -2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | at Appalachian State (13-1, 8-1) | L 41-56 | 7.41 | 7.76 | -0.35 | 41.04%
| -2 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs UMass (1-11) | W 52-17 | 9.52 | 4.16 | +5.36 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #1 Clemson (14-1, 9-0) | L 10-52 | 3.72 | 7.28 | -3.56 | 2.67%
| +1 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | L 27-45 | 5.17 | 7.05 | -1.88 | 10.70%
| -2 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Florida International (6-7, 3-5) | L 23-48 | 6.11 | 7.39 | -1.28 | 20.27%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at Western Kentucky (9-4, 6-2) | L 14-30 | 4.85 | 5.32 | -0.47 | 38.16%
| -1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 39-38 | 7.96 | 7.70 | +0.26 | 56.55%
| +1 |
| Nov 2November 2 | vs Middle Tennessee (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-20 | 5.79 | 7.09 | -1.30 | 19.98%
| +2 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at UTEP (1-11, 0-8) | W 28-21 | 6.90 | 6.83 | +0.08 | 51.90%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Marshall (8-5, 6-2) | W 24-13 | 5.78 | 4.42 | +1.36 | 81.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | at Old Dominion (1-11, 0-8) | W 38-22 | 6.46 | 4.29 | +2.17 | 92.51%
| +1 |
| Dec 20December 20 (Fri) | vs Buffalo (8-5, 5-3) * | L 9-31 | 5.06 | 4.48 | +0.58 | 64.41%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 6.31 | 6.01 | +0.304 | 6.75-6.25 (+0.25) | -4 |