| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | L 7-44 | 1.95 | 6.45 | -4.50 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Colorado State (3-9, 3-5) | W 34-19 | 4.75 | 3.84 | +0.91 | 72.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Tennessee State (4-7, 2-3) | W 49-6 | 6.21 | 3.75 | +2.46 | 94.82%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at #25 Miami (5-7, 3-5) | W 45-31 | 8.31 | 4.12 | +4.19 | 98.88%
| +2 |
| Sep 30September 30 (Fri) | vs UTSA (11-3, 9-0) | L 30-45 | 6.03 | 7.20 | -1.17 | 22.45%
| +3 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at UAB (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-41 | 4.10 | 8.94 | -4.84 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Western Kentucky (9-5, 6-2) | L 17-35 | 3.78 | 5.21 | -1.43 | 17.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | W 24-13 | 6.10 | 4.23 | +1.86 | 89.08%
| 0 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Louisiana Tech (3-9, 2-6) | L 24-40 | 4.77 | 6.19 | -1.42 | 17.68%
| -4 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Charlotte (3-9, 2-6) | W 24-14 | 4.86 | 4.85 | +0.01 | 50.21%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Florida Atlantic (5-7, 4-4) | W 49-21 | 6.83 | 5.16 | +1.67 | 86.41%
| +1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Florida International (4-8, 2-6) | W 33-28 | 5.39 | 6.90 | -1.52 | 16.05%
| +4 |
| Dec 24December 24 | at San Diego State (7-6, 5-3) * | W 25-23 | 2.52 | 4.76 | -2.24 | 6.90%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 5.05 | 5.53 | -0.475 | 5.72-7.28 (+2.28) | +12 |