| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Thu) | at #19 Louisville (9-4, 7-1) | L 14-70 | 3.30 | 9.47 | -6.17 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Elon (2-9, 1-7) | W 47-14 | 7.33 | 4.93 | +2.40 | 94.42%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) | L 19-37 | 4.29 | 5.85 | -1.56 | 15.29%
| -2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Temple (10-4, 8-1) | L 20-48 | 5.11 | 7.68 | -2.57 | 4.54%
| -1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Old Dominion (10-3, 7-1) | L 17-52 | 4.17 | 6.97 | -2.81 | 3.57%
| -1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Sun) | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-23 | 6.80 | 4.65 | +2.15 | 92.30%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Florida International (4-8, 4-4) | L 26-27 | 5.17 | 5.62 | -0.45 | 38.61%
| 0 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Marshall (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-24 | 4.78 | 5.00 | -0.22 | 44.35%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | W 38-27 | 6.18 | 6.07 | +0.11 | 52.77%
| +3 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Rice (3-9, 2-6) | L 21-22 | 4.18 | 4.61 | -0.43 | 39.12%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | L 31-38 | 4.24 | 6.37 | -2.12 | 7.96%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at UT San Antonio (6-7, 5-3) | L 14-33 | 3.76 | 6.12 | -2.36 | 5.93%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 4.92 | 6.03 | -1.111 | 3.99-8.01 (+0.01) | +8 |