| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Morgan State (3-8, 3-5) | W 62-0 | 8.55 | 3.22 | +5.33 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Akron (5-7, 3-5) | L 38-65 | 5.77 | 8.45 | -2.68 | 4.05%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs #3 Louisville (9-4, 7-1) | L 28-59 | 3.23 | 8.12 | -4.88 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Pittsburgh (8-5, 5-3) | L 27-43 | 5.55 | 8.19 | -2.64 | 4.24%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at North Texas (5-8, 3-5) | L 21-38 | 3.87 | 5.59 | -1.71 | 12.98%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 27-21 | 5.38 | 7.02 | -1.63 | 14.20%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Charlotte (4-8, 3-5) | L 24-27 | 5.00 | 4.78 | +0.22 | 55.61%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-24 | 3.83 | 5.58 | -1.75 | 12.52%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Old Dominion (10-3, 7-1) | L 14-38 | 4.37 | 5.99 | -1.62 | 14.40%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 5-3) | W 42-17 | 5.81 | 4.57 | +1.24 | 78.99%
| +4 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Florida International (4-8, 4-4) | L 14-31 | 5.57 | 7.82 | -2.24 | 6.82%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Western Kentucky (11-3, 8-1) | L 6-60 | 3.11 | 7.57 | -4.47 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.04 | 6.35 | -1.319 | 3.04-8.96 (-0.04) | +4 |