| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 (Sun) | vs Hampton (5-6, 5-3) | W 54-21 | 6.93 | 3.62 | +3.30 | 97.24%
| +2 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at Appalachian State (10-3, 7-1) | L 7-31 | 4.87 | 5.93 | -1.06 | 24.61%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at NC State (7-6, 3-5) | L 22-49 | 5.44 | 6.62 | -1.18 | 22.24%
| +1 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs UT San Antonio (6-7, 5-3) | W 33-19 | 5.56 | 4.96 | +0.61 | 65.08%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at Charlotte (4-8, 3-5) | W 52-17 | 6.97 | 4.17 | +2.81 | 96.43%
| +1 |
| Oct 7October 7 (Fri) | vs UMass (2-10) | W 36-16 | 6.37 | 6.06 | +0.31 | 57.72%
| +2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at Western Kentucky (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-59 | 5.79 | 9.18 | -3.39 | 2.73%
| 0 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at UTEP (4-8, 2-6) | W 31-21 | 7.56 | 4.68 | +2.88 | 96.64%
| +1 |
| Nov 5November 5 | vs Marshall (3-9, 2-6) | W 38-14 | 5.99 | 4.37 | +1.62 | 85.58%
| 0 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | W 51-35 | 6.40 | 5.72 | +0.68 | 66.79%
| +5 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Florida Atlantic (3-9, 2-6) | W 42-24 | 7.89 | 5.86 | +2.03 | 91.07%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Florida International (4-8, 4-4) | W 42-28 | 6.86 | 4.58 | +2.28 | 93.46%
| -2 |
| Dec 23December 23 (Fri) | vs Eastern Michigan (7-6, 4-4) * | W 24-20 | 6.68 | 5.53 | +1.15 | 77.12%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 7-1 | 6.41 | 5.46 | +0.952 | 8.77-4.23 (+1.23) | +12 |