| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 28August 28 (Thu) | vs Wake Forest (3-9, 1-7) | W 17-10 | 4.14 | 1.92 | +2.22 | 92.98%
| 0 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Idaho (1-10, 1-7) | W 38-31 | 6.51 | 5.33 | +1.19 | 77.89%
| +2 |
| Sep 13September 13 | at #10 LSU (8-5, 4-4) | L 0-31 | 1.94 | 5.17 | -3.23 | 2.82%
| 0 |
| Sep 27September 27 | vs Troy (3-9, 3-5) | W 22-20 | 4.70 | 5.32 | -0.62 | 34.53%
| 0 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Arkansas State (7-6, 5-3) | L 14-28 | 4.83 | 6.58 | -1.74 | 12.58%
| +1 |
| Oct 11October 11 | at Kentucky (5-7, 2-6) | L 14-48 | 3.34 | 5.97 | -2.62 | 4.29%
| -2 |
| Oct 25October 25 | vs Texas State (7-5, 5-3) | L 18-22 | 4.81 | 5.61 | -0.80 | 30.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 1November 1 | at Texas A&M (8-5, 3-5) | L 16-21 | 4.39 | 3.52 | +0.87 | 71.21%
| +1 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Appalachian State (7-5, 6-2) | L 29-31 | 4.21 | 5.35 | -1.14 | 23.01%
| +1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs Louisiana (9-4, 7-1) | L 27-34 | 5.77 | 7.48 | -1.71 | 13.05%
| -2 |
| Nov 22November 22 | at New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 30-17 | 5.46 | 4.55 | +0.90 | 71.86%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 | at Georgia Southern (9-3, 8-0) | L 16-22 | 5.33 | 6.01 | -0.68 | 33.02%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 4.70 | 5.31 | -0.606 | 4.68-7.32 (-0.68) | -1 |