| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Kentucky (10-3, 5-3) | L 10-45 | 1.33 | 8.36 | -7.02 | 0.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Jackson State (11-2, 9-0) | W 12-7 | 3.29 | 4.83 | -1.54 | 15.66%
| +3 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 29-16 | 4.83 | 5.25 | -0.42 | 39.49%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #16 Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | L 6-59 | 3.69 | 8.44 | -4.75 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | L 21-55 | 5.20 | 6.58 | -1.37 | 18.57%
| -2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Liberty (8-5) | W 31-28 | 5.24 | 5.01 | +0.23 | 55.81%
| +2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | W 41-31 | 7.82 | 5.60 | +2.21 | 92.90%
| +2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 28-59 | 4.26 | 7.04 | -2.78 | 3.66%
| -5 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | L 19-27 | 4.41 | 6.78 | -2.37 | 5.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | L 24-27 | 4.96 | 6.57 | -1.61 | 14.50%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at LSU (6-7, 3-5) | L 14-27 | 4.71 | 5.71 | -1.00 | 26.02%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at #23 Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 16-21 | 4.39 | 6.28 | -1.89 | 10.63%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 4.55 | 6.36 | -1.813 | 2.83-9.17 (+1.17) | +2 |