| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 31-7 | 5.36 | 3.49 | +1.87 | 89.15%
| +3 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Bowling Green (4-8, 2-6) | W 22-19 | 4.47 | 6.10 | -1.63 | 14.30%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Alcorn State (6-5, 5-3) | W 28-21 | 5.79 | 4.64 | +1.15 | 77.22%
| -3 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 18-20 | 5.38 | 5.24 | +0.13 | 53.39%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | L 31-33 | 4.78 | 5.33 | -0.55 | 36.22%
| 0 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | W 41-14 | 8.48 | 3.38 | +5.11 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | L 31-41 | 5.60 | 7.82 | -2.21 | 7.09%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 31-13 | 5.75 | 3.56 | +2.20 | 92.75%
| +3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | L 24-31 | 4.14 | 6.00 | -1.86 | 10.92%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 7-31 | 4.00 | 5.24 | -1.24 | 21.08%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-60 | 4.56 | 7.79 | -3.23 | 2.81%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Fri) | vs Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | L 21-27 | 5.73 | 6.92 | -1.19 | 22.03%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 2-6 | 5.28 | 5.46 | -0.181 | 5.27-6.73 (-0.27) | +4 |