| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs The Citadel (4-7, 3-5) | W 52-14 | 11.16 | 3.89 | +7.28 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 (Fri) | vs Kansas (2-10, 1-8) | W 49-22 | 7.54 | 6.06 | +1.48 | 83.34%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Buffalo (4-8, 2-6) | W 28-25 | 7.46 | 6.00 | +1.46 | 82.94%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs UMass (1-11) | W 53-3 | 8.03 | 2.93 | +5.10 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | W 59-6 | 8.44 | 3.69 | +4.75 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 (Thu) | at Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 52-20 | 10.89 | 4.71 | +6.18 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Wed) | at Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 27-30 | 6.65 | 8.33 | -1.68 | 13.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 28October 28 (Thu) | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 35-28 | 7.88 | 5.92 | +1.95 | 90.17%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | W 28-8 | 5.00 | 3.95 | +1.05 | 75.11%
| +3 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | L 40-42 | 6.06 | 5.65 | +0.40 | 60.14%
| -2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | W 35-21 | 6.55 | 5.10 | +1.45 | 82.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 (Fri) | at South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | W 27-21 | 6.92 | 5.73 | +1.19 | 77.94%
| 0 |
| Dec 17December 17 (Fri) | vs Northern Illinois (9-5, 7-2) * | W 47-41 | 9.35 | 5.86 | +3.48 | 97.31%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-2, 6-2 | 7.77 | 5.32 | +2.447 | 10.63-2.37 (+0.37) | +2 |