| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs #10 Southern Illinois (8-5, 6-4) | L 21-47 | 4.05 | 7.79 | -3.74 | 2.54%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #1 Sam Houston State (11-1, 8-0) | L 14-52 | 4.64 | 8.01 | -3.38 | 2.74%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Missouri (6-7, 3-5) | L 28-59 | 7.31 | 9.25 | -1.93 | 10.06%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Tennessee State (5-6, 4-3) | W 47-14 | 7.49 | 5.02 | +2.47 | 94.89%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-5) | L 17-28 | 3.47 | 5.05 | -1.58 | 15.08%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Austin Peay (6-5, 4-3) | W 30-14 | 3.67 | 5.01 | -1.34 | 19.12%
| +4 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | L 31-32 | 6.40 | 5.84 | +0.56 | 63.89%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at #13 UT Martin (10-3, 6-1) | L 30-38 | 7.07 | 6.62 | +0.45 | 61.22%
| 0 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 38-15 | 6.07 | 4.76 | +1.30 | 80.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | L 10-28 | 5.75 | 7.41 | -1.66 | 13.85%
| +2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs #8 UT Martin (10-3, 6-1) | W 31-14 | 5.72 | 4.88 | +0.85 | 70.63%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-7, 4-4 | 5.52 | 6.37 | -0.855 | 4.34-6.66 (-0.34) | +6 |