| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | at #18 Chattanooga (6-5, 5-3) | W 30-20 | 6.19 | 3.93 | +2.26 | 93.31%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #20 Ole Miss (10-3, 6-2) | L 17-54 | 4.56 | 7.68 | -3.12 | 2.91%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Morehead State (7-4, 6-2) | W 59-35 | 7.33 | 5.23 | +2.10 | 91.81%
| +2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | L 27-35 | 4.40 | 4.96 | -0.57 | 35.81%
| -2 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Tennessee State (5-6, 4-3) | L 22-24 | 4.51 | 6.38 | -1.88 | 10.77%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 4-4) | L 14-30 | 5.01 | 3.67 | +1.34 | 80.85%
| -4 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | W 47-6 | 6.29 | 4.07 | +2.22 | 92.96%
| +4 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at #12 UT Martin (10-3, 6-1) | L 16-17 | 3.26 | 4.22 | -0.96 | 26.80%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 42-26 | 7.22 | 4.26 | +2.96 | 96.84%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Tennessee State (5-6, 4-3) | W 36-7 | 4.73 | 2.90 | +1.84 | 88.69%
| +4 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-5) | W 48-20 | 8.85 | 5.40 | +3.45 | 97.30%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 4-3 | 5.57 | 4.85 | +0.720 | 7.18-3.82 (-1.18) | +9 |