| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs Mississippi Valley State (4-7, 3-5) | W 35-0 | 7.00 | 3.12 | +3.88 | 97.70%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #7 Cincinnati (13-1, 9-0) | L 7-42 | 3.67 | 6.86 | -3.19 | 2.84%
| -4 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Bowling Green (4-8, 2-6) | L 10-27 | 3.30 | 4.78 | -1.48 | 16.68%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 22-6 | 4.96 | 3.93 | +1.03 | 74.58%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at #21 UT Martin (10-3, 6-1) | L 24-48 | 4.78 | 6.94 | -2.16 | 7.62%
| -2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 4-4) | W 32-31 | 5.84 | 6.40 | -0.56 | 36.07%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Austin Peay (6-5, 4-3) | L 6-47 | 4.07 | 6.29 | -2.22 | 7.03%
| -4 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Tennessee State (5-6, 4-3) | L 21-27 | 5.11 | 5.84 | -0.73 | 32.01%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-5) | W 32-27 | 5.47 | 5.53 | -0.06 | 48.45%
| +3 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Southeast Missouri State (4-7, 4-4) | W 28-10 | 7.41 | 5.75 | +1.66 | 86.13%
| -2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Eastern Illinois (1-10, 1-6) | W 20-13 | 5.91 | 4.20 | +1.71 | 86.96%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 5.21 | 5.41 | -0.201 | 4.96-6.04 (+1.04) | -12 |