| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Middle Tennessee (8-5, 4-4) | W 44-7 | 6.45 | 1.95 | +4.50 | 100.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Norfolk State (2-9, 2-3) | W 63-7 | 6.70 | 4.42 | +2.28 | 93.46%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Appalachian State (-) | W 32-28 | 5.08 | 4.81 | +0.27 | 56.93%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Texas State (4-8, 2-6) | W 40-13 | 6.05 | 4.10 | +1.95 | 90.17%
| +1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 42-20 | 7.48 | 5.04 | +2.44 | 94.64%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | L 38-45 | 7.67 | 7.38 | +0.30 | 57.45%
| -3 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Marshall (9-4, 5-3) | L 12-26 | 3.43 | 4.35 | -0.92 | 27.75%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Louisville (8-5, 4-4) | L 10-34 | 3.78 | 7.19 | -3.40 | 2.73%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | W 37-3 | 6.73 | 4.13 | +2.60 | 95.58%
| +2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | W 42-40 | 5.90 | 5.14 | +0.76 | 68.76%
| -3 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs #23 Coastal Carolina (9-4, 6-3) | W 47-7 | 7.61 | 2.82 | +4.79 | 100.00%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-3, 6-2 | 6.17 | 4.74 | +1.439 | 7.87-3.13 (+0.13) | +2 |