| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Army (6-6, 1-0) | W 38-28 | 6.24 | 7.32 | -1.08 | 24.33%
| +1 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-6, 5-0) | W 31-27 | 5.28 | 7.50 | -2.22 | 7.07%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | vs Buffalo (7-6, 5-3) | W 38-26 | 9.51 | 3.62 | +5.89 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 (Thu) | at Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | W 41-24 | 6.51 | 5.33 | +1.18 | 77.72%
| +3 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 34-30 | 7.46 | 6.24 | +1.22 | 78.51%
| 0 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-21 | 7.47 | 6.06 | +1.41 | 82.06%
| +2 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | L 21-49 | 5.68 | 10.94 | -5.26 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 29October 29 | at Marshall (9-4, 5-3) | W 24-13 | 3.93 | 5.50 | -1.57 | 15.15%
| +2 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Thu) | vs Appalachian State (6-6, 3-5) | W 35-28 | 6.61 | 6.67 | -0.06 | 48.41%
| +1 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Southern Mississippi (7-6, 4-4) | W 26-23 | 6.33 | 5.53 | +0.80 | 69.68%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Virginia (3-7, 1-6) | 3:30 PM | | | | | |
| Nov 26November 26 | at James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | L 7-47 | 2.82 | 7.61 | -4.79 | 0.00%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 26-45 | 6.00 | 7.77 | -1.77 | 12.13%
| -2 |
| Dec 27December 27 (Tue) | at East Carolina (8-5, 4-4) * | L 29-53 | 5.35 | 6.85 | -1.50 | 16.41%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 6-3 | 6.03 | 6.46 | -0.437 | 5.31-7.69 (+3.69) | +3 |