| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | vs Norfolk State (2-9, 2-3) | W 55-3 | 7.56 | 2.53 | +5.02 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 10September 10 | at #8 Notre Dame (9-4, 1-0) | W 26-21 | 5.13 | 4.68 | +0.45 | 61.21%
| +3 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at Bowling Green (6-7, 5-3) | L 31-34 | 7.29 | 5.10 | +2.20 | 92.76%
| -3 |
| Sep 24September 24 | at Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 7-16 | 2.52 | 7.52 | -5.00 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs Gardner-Webb (7-6, 5-0) | W 28-7 | 4.90 | 2.80 | +2.09 | 91.71%
| +3 |
| Oct 12October 12 (Wed) | vs Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | L 13-23 | 4.18 | 5.37 | -1.18 | 22.16%
| -2 |
| Oct 22October 22 | at James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | W 26-12 | 4.35 | 3.43 | +0.92 | 72.21%
| +2 |
| Oct 29October 29 | vs Coastal Carolina (9-4, 6-3) | L 13-24 | 5.50 | 3.93 | +1.57 | 84.83%
| -2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Old Dominion (3-9, 2-6) | W 12-0 | 4.78 | 3.48 | +1.29 | 79.97%
| +2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs Appalachian State (6-6, 3-5) | W 28-21 | 5.17 | 3.96 | +1.21 | 78.29%
| 0 |
| Nov 19November 19 | at Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 23-10 | 6.15 | 6.00 | +0.15 | 53.82%
| +2 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Georgia State (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-23 | 7.04 | 5.29 | +1.75 | 87.57%
| 0 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Mon) | at Connecticut (6-7) * | W 28-14 | 4.59 | 4.65 | -0.05 | 48.63%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-4, 5-3 | 5.36 | 4.56 | +0.804 | 8.73-4.27 (+0.27) | +9 |