| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | at Arkansas State (8-5, 5-3) | W 37-30 | 5.40 | 5.60 | -0.19 | 45.15%
| +2 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs North Texas (4-8, 3-5) | W 49-27 | 7.19 | 4.95 | +2.24 | 93.09%
| 0 |
| Sep 14September 14 | vs Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 47-17 | 8.52 | 3.51 | +5.01 | 100.00%
| -2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at #25 TCU (5-7, 3-6) | W 41-38 | 4.95 | 5.44 | -0.48 | 37.82%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at South Florida (4-8, 2-6) | W 48-21 | 6.46 | 4.69 | +1.77 | 87.80%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs Tulsa (4-8, 2-6) | W 43-37 | 4.84 | 6.58 | -1.74 | 12.55%
| +2 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs #25 Temple (8-5, 5-3) | W 45-21 | 6.01 | 3.96 | +2.05 | 91.30%
| 0 |
| Oct 24October 24 (Thu) | at Houston (4-8, 2-6) | W 34-31 | 5.35 | 6.80 | -1.45 | 17.14%
| +2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at #24 Memphis (12-2, 8-1) | L 48-54 | 7.00 | 7.14 | -0.14 | 46.45%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | vs East Carolina (4-8, 1-7) | W 59-51 | 7.66 | 8.36 | -0.70 | 32.64%
| 0 |
| Nov 23November 23 | at Navy (11-2, 7-1) | L 28-35 | 6.14 | 6.14 | +0.01 | 50.15%
| -1 |
| Nov 30November 30 | vs Tulane (7-6, 3-5) | W 37-20 | 5.80 | 5.17 | +0.63 | 65.73%
| +1 |
| Dec 21December 21 | at Florida Atlantic (11-3, 8-1) | L 28-52 | 4.67 | 5.87 | -1.20 | 21.81%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 10-3, 6-2 | 6.11 | 5.73 | +0.381 | 7.02-5.98 (+2.98) | +5 |