| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at #17 Arkansas (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-44 | 3.56 | 9.00 | -5.44 | 0.00%
| +3 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #4 TCU (13-0, 10-0) | L 7-62 | 3.31 | 7.37 | -4.06 | 1.75%
| -4 |
| Sep 16September 16 (Thu) | vs Lane (0-1) | W 43-0 | | | | | |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 7-1) | L 21-23 | 8.13 | 5.37 | +2.76 | 96.28%
| +1 |
| Sep 30September 30 (Thu) | vs UT Martin (6-5, 5-3) | L 24-27 | 4.83 | 6.30 | -1.47 | 16.79%
| -3 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 34-21 | 5.41 | 5.06 | +0.36 | 59.01%
| +3 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Eastern Illinois (2-9, 2-6) | W 34-20 | 4.44 | 4.32 | +0.11 | 52.90%
| +5 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Tennessee State (3-8, 0-7) | W 21-10 | 3.34 | 5.49 | -2.15 | 7.71%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | L 13-44 | 4.79 | 7.03 | -2.24 | 6.91%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-2) | L 29-42 | 8.03 | 7.32 | +0.71 | 67.43%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs #4 Jacksonville State (9-3, 6-2) | W 35-24 | 6.67 | 5.01 | +1.66 | 86.19%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-4 | 5.25 | 6.14 | -0.895 | 3.95-6.05 (+1.05) | +3 |