| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | at Kent State (5-7, 4-4) | L 10-41 | 3.44 | 5.84 | -2.40 | 5.59%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 7-1) | L 17-30 | 4.08 | 5.53 | -1.44 | 17.28%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Central Arkansas (7-4, 4-3) | L 20-21 | 4.29 | 4.94 | -0.65 | 33.82%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs UT Martin (6-5, 5-3) | W 52-16 | 5.86 | 4.54 | +1.31 | 80.34%
| +3 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #4 Jacksonville State (9-3, 6-2) | L 34-40 | 4.32 | 6.83 | -2.51 | 4.90%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Missouri State (5-6, 4-4) | W 72-59 | 8.82 | 12.46 | -3.64 | 2.62%
| +3 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 2-6) | W 38-28 | 5.41 | 6.14 | -0.73 | 31.97%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-2) | L 21-28 | 4.26 | 4.32 | -0.07 | 48.33%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-6, 4-4) | W 44-13 | 7.03 | 4.79 | +2.24 | 93.09%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 61-35 | 7.01 | 6.73 | +0.28 | 57.15%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Tennessee State (3-8, 0-7) | W 28-23 | 6.98 | 5.94 | +1.04 | 74.98%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 5.63 | 5.99 | -0.366 | 4.50-6.50 (+1.50) | +4 |