| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | at Ball State (4-8, 3-5) | L 10-27 | 5.17 | 4.64 | +0.53 | 63.28%
| -2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | W 30-17 | 5.53 | 4.08 | +1.44 | 82.69%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at #5 Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | W 24-21 | 5.85 | 4.72 | +1.13 | 76.68%
| +2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Tennessee Tech (5-6, 4-4) | W 23-21 | 5.37 | 8.13 | -2.76 | 3.73%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 2-6) | W 28-13 | 5.68 | 3.87 | +1.81 | 88.36%
| +4 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Tennessee State (3-8, 0-7) | W 19-17 | 6.14 | 4.90 | +1.24 | 78.84%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 41-24 | 4.54 | 5.60 | -1.06 | 24.65%
| +2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-2) | W 40-21 | 6.48 | 5.25 | +1.23 | 78.66%
| +4 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs UT Martin (6-5, 5-3) | W 24-17 | 4.21 | 3.69 | +0.53 | 63.14%
| +2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Southwest Baptist (0-1) | W 40-14 | | | | | |
| Nov 13November 13 | at #6 Jacksonville State (9-3, 6-2) | L 27-29 | 5.78 | 5.23 | +0.55 | 63.80%
| +2 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at Eastern Washington (13-2, 7-1) | L 17-37 | 5.00 | 5.20 | -0.20 | 44.97%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-3, 7-1 | 5.43 | 4.93 | +0.494 | 6.69-4.31 (+2.31) | +11 |