| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at Ole Miss (4-8, 1-7) | W 49-48 | 5.33 | 6.78 | -1.44 | 17.29%
| +3 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Chattanooga (6-5, 5-3) | W 21-17 | 4.15 | 5.30 | -1.15 | 22.88%
| -1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Georgia State (6-5) | W 34-27 | 6.34 | 5.60 | +0.74 | 68.26%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Eastern Illinois (2-9, 2-6) | W 28-23 | 5.52 | 5.83 | -0.31 | 42.15%
| +1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | W 40-34 | 6.83 | 4.32 | +2.51 | 95.10%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at UT Martin (6-5, 5-3) | W 30-20 | 4.83 | 5.80 | -0.97 | 26.57%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Tennessee State (3-8, 0-7) | W 24-0 | 4.48 | 4.14 | +0.34 | 58.44%
| +1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 56-3 | 8.69 | 3.02 | +5.68 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-2) | L 37-49 | 6.24 | 7.15 | -0.91 | 27.85%
| -2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs #7 Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 7-1) | W 29-27 | 5.23 | 5.78 | -0.55 | 36.16%
| -2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Tennessee Tech (5-6, 4-4) | L 24-35 | 5.01 | 6.67 | -1.66 | 13.79%
| +2 |
| Dec 4December 4 | vs Wofford (10-3, 7-2) | L 14-17 | 4.78 | 5.22 | -0.44 | 38.89%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-3, 6-2 | 5.58 | 5.48 | +0.094 | 5.47-6.53 (+3.53) | 0 |