| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at Baylor (3-9, 2-7) | W 42-31 | 6.39 | 6.90 | -0.50 | 37.36%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at UT San Antonio (9-4, 7-1) | L 13-20 | 4.10 | 4.04 | +0.06 | 51.46%
| +1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Jackson State (7-4, 6-3) | W 77-34 | 10.36 | 5.33 | +5.03 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Nevada (2-10, 2-6) | W 35-24 | 8.70 | 5.04 | +3.65 | 97.39%
| 0 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 50-36 | 8.90 | 5.60 | +3.29 | 97.23%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) | L 30-34 | 6.09 | 7.29 | -1.20 | 21.80%
| 0 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 21-20 | 4.52 | 5.00 | -0.48 | 37.93%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 13-31 | 5.83 | 6.09 | -0.26 | 43.39%
| -4 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 45-24 | 6.24 | 6.82 | -0.57 | 35.64%
| +1 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 23-31 | 4.18 | 4.82 | -0.64 | 34.07%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Arkansas State (6-7, 4-4) | L 31-77 | 5.80 | 9.21 | -3.41 | 2.72%
| -4 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | W 52-44 | 6.94 | 6.03 | +0.92 | 72.23%
| 0 |
| Dec 26December 26 (Tue) | at Rice (6-7, 4-4) * | W 45-21 | 4.38 | 3.46 | +0.92 | 72.31%
| +7 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 4-4 | 6.24 | 5.70 | +0.537 | 7.04-5.96 (+0.96) | -1 |