| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Albany (11-4, 8-1) | W 21-17 | 6.77 | 4.05 | +2.72 | 96.11%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at East Carolina (2-10, 1-7) | W 31-13 | 5.85 | 3.90 | +1.95 | 90.16%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Virginia Tech (7-6, 5-3) | W 24-17 | 5.35 | 5.28 | +0.08 | 51.89%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | W 41-35 | 5.52 | 8.04 | -2.51 | 4.88%
| 0 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at NC State (9-4, 6-2) | L 41-48 | 4.66 | 6.08 | -1.42 | 17.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | L 24-41 | 6.72 | 6.49 | +0.23 | 55.75%
| -1 |
| Oct 19October 19 (Thu) | vs James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 9-20 | 2.73 | 5.87 | -3.14 | 2.89%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 6-34 | 3.99 | 6.89 | -2.90 | 3.30%
| -3 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Appalachian State (9-5, 6-3) | L 9-31 | 5.14 | 5.83 | -0.69 | 32.88%
| -3 |
| Nov 11November 11 | vs Georgia Southern (6-7, 3-5) | W 38-33 | 6.85 | 4.80 | +2.05 | 91.29%
| -2 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | L 0-28 | 3.70 | 5.59 | -1.89 | 10.60%
| -2 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Arkansas State (6-7, 4-4) | W 35-21 | 6.57 | 4.55 | +2.02 | 90.96%
| 0 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Tue) | vs UT San Antonio (9-4, 7-1) * | L 17-35 | 5.40 | 5.36 | +0.04 | 50.89%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 5.33 | 5.53 | -0.198 | 5.99-7.01 (+0.01) | -11 |