| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 30August 30 | at New Mexico (4-8, 2-6) | W 31-24 | 6.76 | 7.82 | -1.06 | 24.62%
| +3 |
| Sep 6September 6 | vs Texas Tech (4-8, 2-7) | L 26-30 | 4.92 | 8.54 | -3.62 | 2.64%
| +1 |
| Sep 13September 13 | vs New Mexico State (2-10, 1-7) | W 42-24 | 6.35 | 6.86 | -0.50 | 37.36%
| +1 |
| Sep 27September 27 | at #25 Kansas State (9-4, 7-2) | L 28-58 | 4.41 | 8.05 | -3.65 | 2.62%
| +1 |
| Oct 4October 4 | at Louisiana Tech (9-5, 7-2) | L 3-55 | 3.50 | 7.38 | -3.88 | 2.30%
| -3 |
| Oct 11October 11 | vs Old Dominion (6-6, 4-4) | W 42-35 | 5.96 | 6.74 | -0.77 | 30.94%
| 0 |
| Oct 25October 25 | at UT San Antonio (4-8, 3-5) | W 34-0 | 5.48 | 1.52 | +3.96 | 97.90%
| +2 |
| Nov 1November 1 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 1-7) | W 35-14 | 3.60 | 5.43 | -1.83 | 11.33%
| +4 |
| Nov 8November 8 | at Western Kentucky (8-5, 4-4) | L 27-35 | 5.79 | 6.51 | -0.71 | 32.32%
| -1 |
| Nov 15November 15 | vs North Texas (4-8, 2-6) | W 35-17 | 7.68 | 3.57 | +4.12 | 98.48%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 (Fri) | at Rice (8-5, 5-3) | L 13-31 | 4.76 | 6.13 | -1.36 | 18.76%
| -1 |
| Nov 29November 29 | vs Middle Tennessee (6-6, 5-3) | W 24-21 | 5.84 | 5.87 | -0.03 | 49.15%
| +1 |
| Dec 20December 20 | vs Utah State (10-4, 6-2) * | L 6-21 | 3.93 | 6.67 | -2.74 | 3.79%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 7-6, 5-3 | 5.31 | 6.30 | -0.989 | 4.12-8.88 (+2.88) | +9 |