| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | at #18 Arkansas (8-5, 5-3) | L 13-48 | 3.85 | 9.07 | -5.23 | 0.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 12September 12 | at Texas Tech (7-6, 4-5) | L 20-69 | 5.38 | 9.36 | -3.98 | 2.04%
| -2 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at New Mexico State (3-9, 3-5) | W 50-47 | 7.07 | 8.59 | -1.52 | 15.96%
| -1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | vs Incarnate Word (6-5, 5-4) | W 27-17 | 5.78 | 6.18 | -0.40 | 40.01%
| +3 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs UT San Antonio (3-9, 3-5) | L 6-25 | 3.82 | 4.19 | -0.37 | 40.69%
| -4 |
| Oct 10October 10 | at Florida International (5-7, 3-5) | L 12-52 | 3.76 | 9.77 | -6.01 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 24October 24 | vs Florida Atlantic (3-9, 3-5) | W 27-17 | 5.30 | 6.89 | -1.59 | 14.90%
| +2 |
| Oct 31October 31 | at Southern Mississippi (9-5, 7-2) | L 13-34 | 4.66 | 7.58 | -2.92 | 3.25%
| +1 |
| Nov 6November 6 (Fri) | vs Rice (5-7, 3-5) | W 24-21 | 5.60 | 5.42 | +0.18 | 54.45%
| -1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | L 21-31 | 4.38 | 6.04 | -1.66 | 13.80%
| -2 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Louisiana Tech (9-4, 6-2) | L 15-17 | 4.90 | 6.14 | -1.24 | 21.04%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at North Texas (1-11, 1-7) | W 20-17 | 4.00 | 3.42 | +0.58 | 64.53%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-7, 3-5 | 4.92 | 6.82 | -1.901 | 2.71-9.29 (+2.29) | -11 |