| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 5September 5 | vs Mississippi State (9-4, 4-4) | L 16-34 | 5.16 | 6.70 | -1.53 | 15.76%
| 0 |
| Sep 12September 12 | vs Austin Peay (0-11, 0-8) | W 52-6 | 7.34 | 2.86 | +4.48 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 19September 19 | at Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 56-50 | 8.40 | 7.12 | +1.28 | 79.64%
| -1 |
| Sep 26September 26 | at Nebraska (6-7, 3-5) | L 28-36 | 7.05 | 8.24 | -1.20 | 21.88%
| +1 |
| Oct 3October 3 | vs North Texas (1-11, 1-7) | W 49-14 | 8.30 | 4.77 | +3.54 | 97.33%
| +1 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Fri) | at Marshall (10-3, 6-2) | L 10-31 | 4.72 | 4.95 | -0.23 | 44.25%
| -4 |
| Oct 17October 17 | vs UT San Antonio (3-9, 3-5) | W 32-10 | 7.41 | 3.25 | +4.16 | 98.71%
| -2 |
| Oct 24October 24 | at Charlotte (2-10, 0-8) | W 44-10 | 6.15 | 3.89 | +2.26 | 93.30%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 | vs UTEP (5-7, 3-5) | W 34-13 | 7.58 | 4.66 | +2.92 | 96.76%
| -1 |
| Nov 14November 14 | at Rice (5-7, 3-5) | W 65-10 | 9.47 | 3.01 | +6.46 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Nov 21November 21 | vs Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 56-31 | 7.20 | 4.97 | +2.23 | 93.04%
| 0 |
| Nov 28November 28 | at Louisiana Tech (9-4, 6-2) | W 58-24 | 7.60 | 5.47 | +2.13 | 92.10%
| +6 |
| Dec 5December 5 | at Western Kentucky (12-2, 9-0) | L 28-45 | 5.48 | 5.92 | -0.44 | 39.00%
| -3 |
| Dec 26December 26 | vs Washington (7-6, 4-5) * | L 31-44 | 5.44 | 7.44 | -2.00 | 9.26%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 9-5, 7-2 | 6.91 | 5.32 | +1.581 | 9.81-4.19 (-0.81) | -1 |