| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Clemson (10-4, 7-2) | L 19-43 | 5.53 | 6.91 | -1.39 | 18.29%
| -2 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #14 Arkansas (11-2, 6-2) | L 28-38 | 5.58 | 6.22 | -0.65 | 33.95%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Middle Tennessee (2-10, 1-7) | W 38-35 | 6.36 | 6.58 | -0.22 | 44.43%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | vs UAB (3-9, 3-5) | W 24-23 | 5.99 | 4.56 | +1.42 | 82.34%
| -2 |
| Oct 8October 8 | at Louisiana (9-4, 6-2) | L 17-31 | 5.05 | 5.40 | -0.35 | 41.04%
| -1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | vs Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 3-5) | L 10-38 | 2.63 | 6.83 | -4.20 | 1.05%
| -1 |
| Oct 25October 25 (Tue) | at Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | L 20-23 | 5.70 | 5.90 | -0.20 | 44.81%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Navy (5-7) | L 14-42 | 4.79 | 7.18 | -2.39 | 5.67%
| -2 |
| Nov 12November 12 | vs North Texas (5-7, 4-4) | L 33-38 | 5.63 | 6.80 | -1.17 | 22.37%
| -2 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Florida Atlantic (1-11, 0-8) | W 34-7 | 6.30 | 4.37 | +1.94 | 89.96%
| -1 |
| Nov 26November 26 | at Western Kentucky (7-5, 7-1) | L 18-41 | 6.80 | 6.26 | +0.54 | 63.58%
| -2 |
| Dec 3December 3 | at Arkansas State (10-3, 8-0) | L 14-45 | | | | | |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.51 | 6.10 | -0.581 | 4.47-6.53 (-1.47) | -9 |