| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at #19 Penn State (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-44 | 4.61 | 6.40 | -1.79 | 11.95%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Butler (4-7, 2-6) | W 31-7 | 5.89 | 4.82 | +1.07 | 75.53%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Central Connecticut (8-3, 7-1) | W 63-24 | 8.14 | 5.33 | +2.81 | 96.44%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs #13 Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | W 31-28 | 4.34 | 5.27 | -0.93 | 27.50%
| +3 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at Missouri State (5-6, 4-4) | L 25-35 | 4.78 | 5.33 | -0.55 | 36.31%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs #18 North Dakota State (9-5, 4-4) | L 29-34 | 6.63 | 8.00 | -1.37 | 18.64%
| -1 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Western Illinois (8-5, 5-3) | L 38-40 | 5.72 | 7.39 | -1.67 | 13.64%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | L 20-30 | 5.23 | 7.69 | -2.46 | 5.21%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs #19 Northern Iowa (7-5, 6-2) | L 30-34 | 5.91 | 6.95 | -1.05 | 24.90%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | L 39-41 | 5.45 | 8.34 | -2.89 | 3.33%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | L 24-30 | 5.86 | 8.09 | -2.23 | 6.96%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-8, 1-7 | 5.67 | 6.63 | -0.957 | 3.20-7.80 (-0.20) | -2 |