| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 (Fri) | vs Eastern Kentucky (6-5, 5-2) | W 31-9 | 6.16 | 5.46 | +0.71 | 67.44%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Kansas State (7-6, 3-5) | L 24-48 | 5.35 | 8.13 | -2.78 | 3.65%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | L 41-44 | 5.44 | 5.86 | -0.42 | 39.34%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs #22 Youngstown State (3-8, 1-7) | W 35-25 | 5.33 | 4.78 | +0.55 | 63.66%
| +2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Murray State (6-5, 5-3) | L 59-72 | 12.46 | 8.82 | +3.64 | 97.39%
| -3 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | L 35-38 | 5.33 | 6.42 | -1.09 | 24.05%
| 0 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs #21 Western Illinois (8-5, 5-3) | W 31-28 | 6.97 | 8.02 | -1.04 | 25.03%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Southern Illinois (5-6, 4-4) | W 51-41 | 6.61 | 7.90 | -1.30 | 19.98%
| +3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | L 10-31 | 4.81 | 4.63 | +0.18 | 54.60%
| -1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at #16 Northern Iowa (7-5, 6-2) | L 14-38 | 5.44 | 7.13 | -1.69 | 13.35%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs #17 North Dakota State (9-5, 4-4) | W 3-0 | 4.65 | 2.92 | +1.73 | 87.19%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-4 | 6.03 | 6.43 | -0.394 | 4.96-6.04 (+0.04) | +3 |