| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs Quincy (0-2) | W 70-7 | | | | | |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Illinois (7-6, 4-4) | L 3-35 | 3.86 | 6.40 | -2.54 | 4.75%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Southeast Missouri State (9-3, 7-1) | L 21-24 | 4.72 | 5.85 | -1.13 | 23.29%
| -2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Youngstown State (3-8, 1-7) | L 28-31 | 5.27 | 4.34 | +0.93 | 72.47%
| -3 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #23 Illinois State (6-5, 4-4) | W 38-17 | 5.32 | 4.48 | +0.84 | 70.44%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs #15 Northern Iowa (7-5, 6-2) | W 45-38 | 6.52 | 6.84 | -0.33 | 41.76%
| +3 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs South Dakota State (5-6, 4-4) | L 10-31 | 4.19 | 4.43 | -0.25 | 43.71%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Missouri State (5-6, 4-4) | L 41-51 | 7.90 | 6.61 | +1.30 | 79.99%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at #25 North Dakota State (9-5, 4-4) | L 6-20 | 4.89 | 4.98 | -0.09 | 47.62%
| -4 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs #23 Western Illinois (8-5, 5-3) | W 20-10 | 4.92 | 6.02 | -1.10 | 23.94%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Indiana State (6-5, 4-4) | W 49-21 | 7.36 | 5.33 | +2.03 | 91.10%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 4-4 | 5.45 | 5.58 | -0.126 | 4.99-5.01 (+0.01) | -9 |