| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Gardner-Webb (4-7, 2-5) | W 30-25 | 5.88 | 6.57 | -0.69 | 32.97%
| 0 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Florida Atlantic (5-7, 3-5) | L 6-38 | 4.15 | 7.41 | -3.27 | 2.79%
| -2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at #20 Arkansas (9-4, 4-4) | L 10-45 | 3.70 | 8.67 | -4.97 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 20-28 | 5.59 | 5.82 | -0.22 | 44.33%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 59-33 | 8.57 | 6.21 | +2.36 | 94.12%
| +4 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | L 24-27 | 4.63 | 6.39 | -1.76 | 12.32%
| -2 |
| Oct 14October 14 (Thu) | at South Alabama (5-7, 2-6) | L 14-41 | 3.38 | 8.48 | -5.11 | 0.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Georgia State (8-5, 6-2) | L 14-21 | 6.57 | 5.64 | +0.93 | 72.43%
| -2 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs #21 Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | L 8-28 | 3.95 | 5.00 | -1.05 | 24.86%
| -3 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-30 | 5.81 | 4.32 | +1.49 | 83.50%
| +1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs #14 BYU (10-3) | L 17-34 | 5.15 | 7.67 | -2.52 | 4.86%
| -2 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 3-27 | 2.77 | 5.98 | -3.21 | 2.83%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 3-9, 2-6 | 5.05 | 6.50 | -1.455 | 3.75-8.25 (-0.75) | -8 |