| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 31August 31 | vs East Tennessee State (3-9, 1-7) | W 42-7 | 6.73 | 4.56 | +2.16 | 92.44%
| +1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Charlotte (7-6, 5-3) | W 56-41 | 7.76 | 7.41 | +0.35 | 58.92%
| +2 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at North Carolina (7-6, 4-4) | W 34-31 | 6.02 | 5.72 | +0.30 | 57.47%
| +2 |
| Sep 28September 28 | vs Coastal Carolina (5-7, 2-6) | W 56-37 | 6.72 | 5.96 | +0.76 | 68.79%
| 0 |
| Oct 9October 9 (Wed) | at Louisiana (11-3, 7-2) | W 17-7 | 4.90 | 4.46 | +0.44 | 61.14%
| 0 |
| Oct 19October 19 | vs Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 52-7 | 6.81 | 3.80 | +3.01 | 96.93%
| +1 |
| Oct 26October 26 | at South Alabama (2-10, 1-7) | W 30-3 | 6.10 | 2.44 | +3.66 | 97.40%
| +1 |
| Oct 31October 31 (Thu) | vs Georgia Southern (7-6, 5-3) | L 21-24 | 5.18 | 5.85 | -0.68 | 33.25%
| 0 |
| Nov 9November 9 | at South Carolina (4-8, 3-5) | W 20-15 | 3.54 | 4.07 | -0.53 | 36.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 16November 16 | at Georgia State (7-6, 4-4) | W 56-27 | 6.91 | 5.14 | +1.77 | 87.80%
| +2 |
| Nov 23November 23 | vs Texas State (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-13 | 7.09 | 3.53 | +3.57 | 97.34%
| 0 |
| Nov 29November 29 (Fri) | at Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 48-13 | 7.25 | 4.91 | +2.34 | 93.93%
| +1 |
| Dec 7December 7 | vs Louisiana (11-3, 7-2) | W 45-38 | 6.12 | 6.11 | +0.01 | 50.25%
| +2 |
| Dec 21December 21 | at UAB (9-5, 6-3) * | W 31-17 | 6.20 | 5.05 | +1.16 | 77.26%
| +3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 13-1, 8-1 | 6.26 | 5.01 | +1.250 | 10.10-3.90 (+2.90) | +15 |