| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 3September 3 | at Nevada (2-10, 0-8) | L 14-38 | 3.65 | 4.41 | -0.77 | 31.09%
| -4 |
| Sep 10September 10 | vs Florida International (4-8, 2-6) | W 41-12 | 6.19 | 4.01 | +2.18 | 92.58%
| 0 |
| Sep 17September 17 | at #17 Baylor (6-7, 4-5) | L 7-42 | 3.83 | 7.71 | -3.88 | 2.31%
| +2 |
| Sep 24September 24 | vs Houston Christian (2-9, 0-5) | W 34-0 | 5.99 | 2.58 | +3.41 | 97.28%
| 0 |
| Oct 1October 1 | at James Madison (8-3, 6-2) | L 13-40 | 4.10 | 6.05 | -1.95 | 9.82%
| -1 |
| Oct 8October 8 | vs Appalachian State (-) | W 36-24 | 5.22 | 5.89 | -0.67 | 33.29%
| +1 |
| Oct 15October 15 | at Troy (12-2, 8-1) | L 14-17 | 4.88 | 6.55 | -1.67 | 13.70%
| +1 |
| Oct 22October 22 | vs Southern Mississippi (-) | L 14-20 | 3.86 | 4.24 | -0.38 | 40.33%
| +2 |
| Nov 5November 5 | at Louisiana Monroe (-) | L 30-31 | 5.03 | 5.43 | -0.40 | 39.87%
| +4 |
| Nov 12November 12 | at South Alabama (10-3, 7-1) | L 21-38 | 3.43 | 5.21 | -1.77 | 12.14%
| -1 |
| Nov 19November 19 | vs Arkansas State (3-9, 1-7) | W 16-13 | 4.53 | 4.62 | -0.09 | 47.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 26November 26 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 4-4) | L 13-41 | 5.56 | 6.41 | -0.85 | 29.24%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 2-6 | 4.71 | 5.28 | -0.572 | 4.49-7.51 (-0.49) | +3 |