| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 | at #10 Arkansas (4-8, 2-6) | L 24-49 | 3.98 | 8.17 | -4.20 | 1.05%
| +2 |
| Sep 8September 8 | vs Chattanooga (6-5, 5-3) | W 27-24 | 6.95 | 5.28 | +1.67 | 86.42%
| 0 |
| Sep 22September 22 | at #21 Eastern Kentucky (8-3, 6-2) | L 21-51 | 5.72 | 7.75 | -2.03 | 8.92%
| -4 |
| Sep 29September 29 | vs Southeast Missouri State (3-8, 2-6) | W 31-16 | 6.40 | 4.66 | +1.74 | 87.40%
| 0 |
| Oct 6October 6 | at Tennessee Tech (3-8, 1-7) | W 37-28 | 6.29 | 4.67 | +1.62 | 85.62%
| +1 |
| Oct 13October 13 | at Eastern Illinois (7-5, 6-1) | L 28-31 | 5.65 | 4.33 | +1.32 | 80.39%
| -3 |
| Oct 20October 20 | vs #17 Tennessee State (8-3, 4-3) | W 31-28 | 5.12 | 6.27 | -1.15 | 22.82%
| 0 |
| Oct 27October 27 | vs Murray State (5-6, 4-4) | W 38-35 | 4.88 | 5.17 | -0.29 | 42.65%
| 0 |
| Nov 3November 3 | at UT Martin (8-3, 6-2) | L 47-49 | 6.69 | 7.02 | -0.33 | 41.53%
| 0 |
| Nov 10November 10 | vs Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 38-23 | 7.79 | 5.78 | +2.01 | 90.79%
| 0 |
| Nov 17November 17 | at #6 Florida (11-2, 7-1) | L 0-23 | 4.25 | 6.14 | -1.89 | 10.56%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-5, 5-3 | 5.73 | 5.94 | -0.203 | 5.58-5.42 (+0.42) | -5 |