| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Wed) | vs UAB (9-4, 6-2) * | L 0-31 | 3.08 | 8.63 | -5.55 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Florida State (5-7, 4-5) | W 20-17 | 4.55 | 4.72 | -0.17 | 45.59%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs North Alabama (3-8, 3-4) | W 27-24 | 5.52 | 6.72 | -1.21 | 21.72%
| +2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs UT Martin (10-3, 6-1) | L 31-34 | 6.39 | 7.35 | -0.95 | 26.92%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | at #20 Kennesaw State (11-2, 7-0) | L 6-31 | 5.78 | 5.04 | +0.73 | 68.03%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | vs Stephen F. Austin (8-4, 6-2) | W 28-24 | 5.24 | 5.41 | -0.17 | 45.65%
| +2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | at Sam Houston State (11-1, 8-0) | L 7-42 | 4.31 | 6.01 | -1.70 | 13.15%
| -2 |
| Oct 30October 30 | vs Central Arkansas (5-6, 3-4) | L 14-38 | 5.69 | 5.26 | +0.42 | 60.60%
| -3 |
| Nov 6November 6 | vs Abilene Christian (5-6, 3-5) | W 40-25 | 6.46 | 6.86 | -0.41 | 39.66%
| +2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at Lamar (2-9, 0-8) | W 38-7 | 6.85 | 2.77 | +4.07 | 98.30%
| 0 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Eastern Kentucky (7-4, 5-2) | L 31-39 | 5.48 | 5.08 | +0.40 | 60.01%
| -1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 5-6, 3-3 | 5.44 | 5.77 | -0.335 | 4.80-6.20 (+0.20) | 0 |