| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | at #22 Auburn (14-0, 9-0) | L 26-52 | 4.69 | 9.43 | -4.74 | 0.00%
| +2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Louisiana (3-9, 3-5) | L 24-31 | 7.29 | 6.48 | +0.81 | 69.92%
| -3 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 34-20 | 5.93 | 6.55 | -0.62 | 34.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Troy (8-5, 6-2) | L 28-35 | 5.95 | 6.35 | -0.40 | 39.90%
| -1 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Louisville (7-6, 3-4) | L 24-34 | 7.23 | 7.11 | +0.12 | 53.06%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at North Texas (3-9, 3-5) | W 24-19 | 5.15 | 4.83 | +0.32 | 58.15%
| 0 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Indiana (5-7, 1-7) | L 34-36 | 4.96 | 6.57 | -1.62 | 14.46%
| -1 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 37-16 | 4.62 | 6.16 | -1.54 | 15.68%
| +2 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Tue) | vs Middle Tennessee (6-7, 5-3) | W 51-24 | 7.48 | 4.21 | +3.27 | 97.22%
| +6 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | L 35-36 | 6.88 | 4.60 | +2.28 | 93.44%
| -4 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Navy (9-4) | L 19-35 | 5.62 | 6.74 | -1.12 | 23.40%
| 0 |
| Nov 27November 27 | at Florida International (7-6, 6-2) | L 24-31 | 5.25 | 5.71 | -0.46 | 38.42%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 4-4 | 5.85 | 6.13 | -0.278 | 5.38-6.62 (-1.38) | +1 |