| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 (Thu) | vs Minnesota (3-9, 2-7) | L 17-24 | 7.95 | 5.35 | +2.60 | 95.61%
| -2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | vs Austin Peay (2-9, 1-7) | W 56-33 | 6.74 | 4.58 | +2.16 | 92.43%
| -2 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at Memphis (1-11, 0-8) | L 17-24 | 4.38 | 4.17 | +0.22 | 55.48%
| -4 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at Louisiana (3-9, 3-5) | W 34-14 | 6.06 | 4.41 | +1.65 | 86.09%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Tue) | vs Troy (8-5, 6-2) | L 13-42 | 3.68 | 6.65 | -2.97 | 3.15%
| -2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | at Georgia Tech (6-7, 4-4) | L 14-42 | 4.49 | 5.87 | -1.39 | 18.31%
| -4 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | W 38-10 | 6.39 | 4.22 | +2.17 | 92.52%
| 0 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Tue) | at Arkansas State (4-8, 4-4) | L 24-51 | 4.21 | 7.48 | -3.27 | 2.79%
| -6 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs North Texas (3-9, 3-5) | L 17-23 | 5.74 | 5.54 | +0.20 | 55.10%
| -1 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | W 27-26 | 3.53 | 5.13 | -1.60 | 14.70%
| +1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 38-14 | 6.41 | 4.36 | +2.05 | 91.30%
| +2 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at Florida International (7-6, 6-2) | W 28-27 | 6.48 | 6.39 | +0.09 | 52.24%
| +1 |
| Jan 6January 6 (Thu) | at Miami (OH) (10-4, 8-1) * | L 21-35 | 6.49 | 5.53 | +0.97 | 73.31%
| -3 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 5-3 | 5.49 | 5.34 | +0.153 | 7.33-5.67 (-1.33) | -19 |