| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Bowling Green (2-10, 1-7) | W 30-27 | 5.82 | 4.99 | +0.84 | 70.43%
| +1 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at Oklahoma State (11-2, 6-2) | L 38-41 | 4.96 | 7.13 | -2.17 | 7.49%
| +1 |
| Sep 18September 18 | at UAB (4-8, 3-5) | L 33-34 | 7.36 | 7.40 | -0.04 | 49.03%
| +2 |
| Sep 25September 25 | vs Arkansas State (4-8, 4-4) | W 35-28 | 6.35 | 5.95 | +0.40 | 60.06%
| +1 |
| Oct 5October 5 (Tue) | at Middle Tennessee (6-7, 5-3) | W 42-13 | 6.65 | 3.68 | +2.97 | 96.86%
| +2 |
| Oct 16October 16 | vs Louisiana (3-9, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 5.81 | 4.44 | +1.38 | 81.46%
| -1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Louisiana Monroe (5-7, 4-4) | L 14-28 | 4.29 | 5.59 | -1.30 | 19.94%
| -1 |
| Nov 6November 6 | at North Texas (3-9, 3-5) | W 41-35 | 6.71 | 6.85 | -0.14 | 46.48%
| -2 |
| Nov 13November 13 | vs Florida International (7-6, 6-2) | L 35-52 | 5.60 | 9.87 | -4.27 | 0.58%
| -3 |
| Nov 20November 20 | at #17 South Carolina (9-5, 5-4) | L 24-69 | 4.10 | 7.79 | -3.68 | 2.59%
| -4 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Western Kentucky (2-10, 2-6) | W 28-14 | 6.46 | 4.37 | +2.10 | 91.76%
| -1 |
| Dec 4December 4 | at Florida Atlantic (4-8, 3-5) | W 44-7 | 6.46 | 5.49 | +0.96 | 73.20%
| +3 |
| Dec 18December 18 | vs Ohio (8-5, 6-2) * | W 48-21 | 7.92 | 6.67 | +1.25 | 79.08%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 6.08 | 6.14 | -0.057 | 6.79-6.21 (+1.21) | 0 |