| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | at #20 Oklahoma (10-3, 7-2) | L 0-73 | 4.16 | 7.83 | -3.67 | 2.60%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | vs Memphis (10-3, 6-2) | L 3-37 | 3.24 | 5.56 | -2.32 | 6.22%
| -4 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Stony Brook (0-10, 0-8) | W 31-7 | 7.03 | 5.02 | +2.01 | 90.86%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 44-37 | 6.54 | 6.41 | +0.12 | 53.13%
| +1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at UMass (3-9, 1-1) | W 52-28 | 8.55 | 6.05 | +2.51 | 95.08%
| +1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 3-37 | 3.44 | 8.27 | -4.83 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Coastal Carolina (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-27 | 7.15 | 6.06 | +1.10 | 76.07%
| -1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 34-24 | 6.92 | 5.60 | +1.32 | 80.53%
| -1 |
| Nov 4November 4 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) | W 37-17 | 5.33 | 5.36 | -0.04 | 49.07%
| +2 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | L 14-21 | 4.72 | 5.29 | -0.57 | 35.66%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Texas State (8-5, 4-4) | W 77-31 | 9.21 | 5.80 | +3.41 | 97.29%
| +4 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Marshall (6-7, 3-5) | L 21-35 | 4.55 | 6.57 | -2.02 | 9.03%
| 0 |
| Dec 23December 23 | at Northern Illinois (7-6, 5-3) * | L 19-21 | 6.16 | 5.96 | +0.20 | 55.06%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 4-4 | 5.87 | 6.17 | -0.302 | 6.51-6.49 (-0.51) | +3 |