| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Stephen F. Austin (3-8, 0-7) | W 48-30 | 8.44 | 4.07 | +4.37 | 100.00%
| -3 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at #15 Kansas State (9-4, 6-3) | L 13-42 | 4.33 | 5.67 | -1.34 | 19.19%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs James Madison (11-2, 7-1) | L 14-16 | 4.92 | 4.46 | +0.46 | 61.58%
| -1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Western Kentucky (8-5, 5-3) | W 27-24 | 6.43 | 5.43 | +1.00 | 73.99%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | W 28-7 | 6.31 | 4.97 | +1.34 | 80.84%
| +2 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Arkansas State (6-7, 4-4) | W 37-3 | 8.27 | 3.44 | +4.83 | 100.00%
| -1 |
| Oct 14October 14 | at Army (6-6, 0-1) | W 19-0 | 7.48 | 3.70 | +3.79 | 97.53%
| +3 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Texas State (8-5, 4-4) | W 31-13 | 6.09 | 5.83 | +0.26 | 56.57%
| +4 |
| Nov 2November 2 (Thu) | vs South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | W 28-10 | 6.06 | 4.67 | +1.39 | 81.80%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 45-14 | 4.61 | 4.61 | +0.00 | 50.02%
| +1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Louisiana (6-7, 3-5) | W 31-24 | 5.56 | 5.44 | +0.12 | 52.98%
| +1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | W 35-17 | 6.37 | 4.40 | +1.97 | 90.41%
| -1 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs Appalachian State (9-5, 6-3) | W 49-23 | 7.72 | 4.79 | +2.93 | 96.77%
| +1 |
| Dec 23December 23 | at Duke (8-5, 4-4) * | L 10-17 | 5.16 | 4.93 | +0.23 | 55.83%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 8-1 | 6.25 | 4.76 | +1.490 | 10.18-3.82 (+0.82) | +5 |