| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Northwestern State (0-9, 0-5) | W 38-13 | 6.50 | 2.75 | +3.75 | 97.48%
| -2 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Old Dominion (6-7, 5-3) | L 31-38 | 6.03 | 7.26 | -1.23 | 21.18%
| 0 |
| Sep 16September 16 | at UAB (4-8, 3-5) | W 41-21 | 8.02 | 5.43 | +2.59 | 95.54%
| -1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Buffalo (3-9, 3-5) | W 45-38 | 7.73 | 4.72 | +3.01 | 96.93%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | at Minnesota (6-7, 3-6) | L 24-35 | 6.71 | 5.34 | +1.37 | 81.42%
| -1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | vs Texas State (8-5, 4-4) | W 34-30 | 7.29 | 6.09 | +1.20 | 78.17%
| 0 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs Georgia State (7-6, 3-5) | L 17-20 | 4.31 | 5.53 | -1.22 | 21.45%
| +1 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at South Alabama (7-6, 4-4) | W 33-20 | 5.27 | 6.47 | -1.19 | 21.93%
| +5 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Arkansas State (6-7, 4-4) | L 17-37 | 5.36 | 5.33 | +0.04 | 50.89%
| -2 |
| Nov 9November 9 (Thu) | vs Southern Mississippi (3-9, 2-6) | L 31-34 | 5.57 | 4.94 | +0.63 | 65.76%
| 0 |
| Nov 18November 18 | at Troy (11-3, 8-1) | L 24-31 | 5.44 | 5.56 | -0.12 | 46.98%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | vs Louisiana Monroe (2-10, 0-8) | W 52-21 | 7.56 | 3.86 | +3.70 | 97.43%
| +1 |
| Dec 16December 16 | vs Jacksonville State (9-4, 6-2) * | L 31-34 | 3.98 | 4.83 | -0.84 | 29.41%
| +4 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 3-5 | 6.12 | 5.22 | +0.902 | 8.05-4.95 (-2.05) | +3 |