| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 4September 4 | vs Army (9-4) | L 10-43 | 3.69 | 5.01 | -1.33 | 19.40%
| -2 |
| Sep 11September 11 | at #24 North Carolina (6-7, 4-6) | L 17-59 | 3.61 | 8.55 | -4.94 | 0.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 18September 18 | vs Charlotte (5-7, 3-5) | W 20-9 | 6.79 | 4.12 | +2.67 | 95.92%
| -1 |
| Sep 25September 25 | at #23 Auburn (6-7, 3-5) | L 24-34 | 5.27 | 5.37 | -0.10 | 47.43%
| 0 |
| Oct 2October 2 | vs Appalachian State (10-4, 7-2) | L 16-45 | 4.94 | 6.97 | -2.04 | 8.86%
| -2 |
| Oct 9October 9 | at Louisiana Monroe (4-8, 2-6) | W 55-21 | 6.58 | 5.20 | +1.37 | 81.40%
| +2 |
| Oct 23October 23 | vs Texas State (4-8, 3-5) | W 28-16 | 7.09 | 4.61 | +2.47 | 94.87%
| +1 |
| Oct 30October 30 | at Georgia Southern (3-9, 2-6) | W 21-14 | 5.64 | 6.57 | -0.93 | 27.54%
| +2 |
| Nov 4November 4 (Thu) | at #24 Louisiana (13-1, 9-0) | L 17-21 | 4.52 | 5.97 | -1.46 | 17.06%
| +1 |
| Nov 13November 13 | at #22 Coastal Carolina (11-2, 6-2) | W 42-40 | 5.65 | 6.06 | -0.40 | 39.82%
| +2 |
| Nov 20November 20 | vs Arkansas State (2-10, 1-7) | W 28-20 | 5.95 | 3.65 | +2.30 | 93.61%
| -1 |
| Nov 27November 27 | vs Troy (5-7, 3-5) | W 37-10 | 5.69 | 4.53 | +1.16 | 77.45%
| +2 |
| Dec 25December 25 | at Ball State (6-7, 4-4) * | W 51-20 | 7.48 | 4.53 | +2.95 | 96.82%
| +2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 8-5, 6-2 | 5.63 | 5.45 | +0.181 | 7.00-6.00 (+1.00) | +6 |