| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Aug 29August 29 (Thu) | vs Liberty (8-4, 4-1) | W 17-10 | 4.69 | 5.05 | -0.36 | 40.97%
| -1 |
| Sep 7September 7 | vs Bowling Green (10-4, 8-1) | L 22-41 | 5.39 | 8.11 | -2.72 | 3.88%
| -1 |
| Sep 14September 14 | at #8 LSU (10-3, 5-3) | L 13-45 | 4.07 | 10.38 | -6.32 | 0.00%
| +1 |
| Sep 21September 21 | at Penn State (7-5, 4-4) | L 0-34 | 3.17 | 5.20 | -2.04 | 8.87%
| 0 |
| Sep 28September 28 | at Western Michigan (1-11, 1-7) | W 32-14 | 5.87 | 5.64 | +0.23 | 55.90%
| 0 |
| Oct 5October 5 | vs #23 Northern Illinois (12-2, 8-1) | L 24-38 | 6.43 | 7.12 | -0.70 | 32.75%
| 0 |
| Oct 12October 12 | at Ball State (10-3, 7-1) | L 24-27 | 5.36 | 6.13 | -0.78 | 30.92%
| +1 |
| Oct 19October 19 | at South Alabama (6-6, 4-3) | L 21-38 | 7.25 | 6.25 | +1.01 | 74.19%
| 0 |
| Oct 26October 26 | vs Buffalo (8-5, 6-2) | L 21-41 | 5.86 | 7.01 | -1.16 | 22.63%
| -2 |
| Nov 2November 2 | at Akron (5-7, 4-4) | L 7-16 | 4.69 | 4.47 | +0.22 | 55.48%
| -4 |
| Nov 13November 13 (Wed) | vs Miami (OH) (0-12, 0-8) | W 24-6 | 6.48 | 3.26 | +3.22 | 97.19%
| +1 |
| Nov 19November 19 (Tue) | at Ohio (7-6, 4-4) | W 44-13 | 7.26 | 3.24 | +4.02 | 98.08%
| +1 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 4-8, 3-5 | 5.56 | 6.05 | -0.488 | 5.21-6.79 (-1.21) | -4 |