| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 1September 1 (Fri) | vs Navy (7-6, 4-4) | L 19-42 | 5.72 | 6.74 | -1.02 | 25.42%
| 0 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at #9 Wisconsin (13-1, 9-1) | L 14-31 | 4.59 | 6.71 | -2.12 | 7.97%
| +2 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Bethune-Cookman (7-4, 6-2) | W 45-0 | 6.88 | 2.13 | +4.75 | 100.00%
| 0 |
| Sep 23September 23 | at Buffalo (6-6, 4-4) | L 31-34 | 6.24 | 5.45 | +0.79 | 69.38%
| -1 |
| Sep 30September 30 | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 38-20 | 5.56 | 5.97 | -0.42 | 39.49%
| +3 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 58-28 | 6.04 | 5.48 | +0.56 | 64.07%
| +2 |
| Oct 21October 21 | vs North Texas (9-5, 7-2) | W 69-31 | 9.69 | 5.25 | +4.44 | 100.00%
| +3 |
| Oct 28October 28 | at Western Kentucky (6-7, 4-4) | W 42-28 | 5.84 | 5.28 | +0.55 | 63.84%
| +3 |
| Nov 3November 3 (Fri) | vs Marshall (8-5, 4-4) | W 30-25 | 5.60 | 4.76 | +0.84 | 70.53%
| +4 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Louisiana Tech (7-6, 4-4) | W 48-23 | 8.30 | 5.33 | +2.97 | 96.85%
| -1 |
| Nov 18November 18 | vs Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | W 52-24 | 8.06 | 4.73 | +3.32 | 97.25%
| -1 |
| Nov 25November 25 | at Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | W 31-12 | 6.62 | 4.90 | +1.72 | 87.09%
| -2 |
| Dec 2December 2 | vs North Texas (9-5, 7-2) | W 41-17 | 8.79 | 5.46 | +3.33 | 97.25%
| +1 |
| Dec 19December 19 (Tue) | vs Akron (7-7, 6-3) | W 50-3 | 6.77 | 2.52 | +4.25 | 99.29%
| 0 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 11-3, 9-0 | 6.80 | 5.19 | +1.611 | 10.18-3.82 (+0.82) | +13 |