| Date | Opponent | Result | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | YPP Win Prob | TO Margin |
|---|
| Sep 2September 2 | vs Eastern Kentucky (4-7, 3-5) | W 31-17 | 5.13 | 4.93 | +0.20 | 55.01%
| -1 |
| Sep 9September 9 | at Illinois (2-10, 0-9) | L 7-20 | 4.14 | 4.00 | +0.14 | 53.42%
| -1 |
| Sep 16September 16 | vs Louisiana Tech (7-6, 4-4) | L 22-23 | 4.83 | 6.20 | -1.37 | 18.54%
| +1 |
| Sep 23September 23 | vs Ball State (2-10, 0-8) | W 33-21 | 5.01 | 5.58 | -0.57 | 35.78%
| +1 |
| Oct 7October 7 | at UTEP (0-12, 0-8) | W 15-14 | 4.03 | 4.95 | -0.92 | 27.68%
| 0 |
| Oct 14October 14 | vs Charlotte (1-11, 1-7) | W 45-14 | 6.82 | 5.83 | +0.99 | 73.71%
| 0 |
| Oct 20October 20 (Fri) | at Old Dominion (5-7, 3-5) | W 35-31 | 6.12 | 6.14 | -0.02 | 49.49%
| +2 |
| Oct 28October 28 | vs Florida Atlantic (11-3, 9-0) | L 28-42 | 5.28 | 5.84 | -0.55 | 36.12%
| -3 |
| Nov 4November 4 | at Vanderbilt (5-7, 1-7) | L 17-31 | 4.21 | 7.04 | -2.83 | 3.50%
| 0 |
| Nov 11November 11 | at Marshall (8-5, 4-4) | L 23-30 | 6.03 | 4.34 | +1.70 | 86.73%
| -1 |
| Nov 17November 17 (Fri) | vs Middle Tennessee (7-6, 4-4) | W 41-38 | 6.18 | 5.46 | +0.73 | 67.96%
| -1 |
| Nov 24November 24 (Fri) | at Florida International (8-5, 5-3) | L 17-41 | 5.21 | 6.12 | -0.91 | 27.96%
| -3 |
| Dec 16December 16 | at Georgia State (7-5, 5-3) * | L 17-27 | 5.72 | 5.90 | -0.18 | 45.41%
| -2 |
| | Final Record | YPP Gained | YPP Allowed | YPP Diff | Expected Record | TO Margin |
|---|
| | 6-7, 4-4 | 5.32 | 5.52 | -0.205 | 5.81-7.19 (+0.19) | -8 |